Genesis: Collin Morikawa. As a 7,216 yard par-71, TPC Scottsdale is about average in terms of total yardage, but plays shorter than the scorecard suggests in firm and dry conditions at elevation. The MC at Riviera was mainly due to his short game. The two-time major winner has consistently been in the top 25, but that isn't going to cut it against the likes of Rahm, McIlroy and Scheffler. I expect the Japanese superstar to remind us that he is still a top-20 player in the world and have a great chance to pick up PGA Tour victory No. Ill always look Conners way at a ball-strikers course, as the Canadian ranks top-15 in both SG: OTT and SG: APP. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF, Former Masters champ is our long-shot bet in LA: 2023 Genesis Invitational odds, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational tee times: Round 1 groupings for Thursday, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Absolutely horrendous: Xander Schauffele explains Bay Hills juicy rough, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, Is a 7-wood, 3-hybrid or 3-iron most suitable for your game? February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. In a field as top-heavy as this one with so many elite options, a safe, high floor value player is going to be a must for DFS lineup construction purposes. Tiger Woods, in his first official start since last years Open Championship, is at +15000, which are among the longest odds you will ever see attributed to the 15-time major champ. I love buying in on players that are coming off a week where they gained strokes in all four major categories, which is the exact type of well-rounded approach that is extremely necessary at a course like Bay Hill. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. If youve been reading this column over the past month or so, youve been cashing tickets. This years purse is set at $20,000,000, and some exciting players are in the field. This tournament has bred few surprises at the top of the leaderboard by Sunday. Powers, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (-120) over Corey Conners (DraftKings) Keegans Bay Hill record is as good as anybodys in this field not named Rory McIlroy, and hes coming in in fine form. 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. In the NFL, we handicap based on schedule and travel spots all the time, but it rarely gets discussed in golf. Something clearly clicked for him at Riviera, and this is the number to cash in on. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? In Hahns case, hes a bit too volatile for me to want to wager a placement bet on, but Im optimistic about his boom potential as a DFS salary saver. Powers, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+600, DraftKings) Coming off his first win in eight years, Kirks confidence should be riding high. With the $20 million purse on the line, the field is once again loaded with defending champion Scottie Scheffler now joined by Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and 10 of the Top 11 players in the OWGR and 44 of the Top 50 players in the world. Instead, McDonald is jumping on several severalunderdogs, including two MASSIVE longshots of well over 80-1! Lowry is coming off a good week in Palm Beach Gardens but hasnt been able to solve Bay Hill. Longshot pick to win Arnold Palmer Invitational: Min Woo Lee (+15000). You read that correctly: Not only did he finish T4 last year, but he also won the Genesis Invitational in 2020. Scheffler won last year at 5 under, beating Viktor Hovland, Tyrrell Hatton and Billy Horschel and by one stroke. That continues a streak that started with Brandon Gdula correctly predicting Scottie Schefflers win at the WM Phoenix Open (13-1) and Rick Gehman hitting Jon Rahm at the Genesis Invitational (+750). In terms of pure value, youd be hard pressed to find a better bet on the board than the former Masters champion. Were always looking for courses which wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Bay Hill certainly qualifies. Other top contenders in the 2023 Arnold Palmer field include McIlroy (19-2), Scheffler (11-1), Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1), Justin Thomas (23-1), Xander Stats pulled across Last 36 Rounds unless otherwise noted. Were getting value based on Rorys slow start on the West Coast, which was mainly short-game induced. Designed by John Steidel, China Creek Golf Course measures 2627 Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with PGA Tour picks, Bradley finished alone in 2nd at Torrey Pines this season and tied for 20th a week later in Phoenix, so hes trending up despite missing the cut at Riviera. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) For the first time this year, Zalatoris looks like himself again. Lack: Sungjae Im (33-1, BetMGM) This is a pure situational fade for me. Skip to main content. Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Lets keep it rolling in Orlando. Atlantic Sun Tournament Odds: Liberty The Clear-Cut Favorite, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Tournament Preview: Everything You Need To Know About Bay Hill. Lack: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) I have been surprised to see Cameron Young slide so quickly in the betting markets, despite nearly winning two majors last year and emerging as the best player in the world without a PGA Tour victory. Compared to other top players, he has much less experience at Bay Hillplaying here just once, finishing T-49 in 2015. Skip to navigation. Its a good number if nothing else. Keegan is also one of the best in proximity on Par 3:150-200 yards, so he should have what it takes to survive the infamous Bear Trap, which features two par 3s measuring 179 and We shouldve had some equity in Chris Kirk but tried to get too cute. The British Open will be played this week for the first time since 2019. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Rory McIlroy has become a horse at The Kings place, finishing 13th or better in seven of eight appearances. Earlier this week, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing on three of the favorites at Southern Hills. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Scottie won Phoenix, Rahm won Riv. Caddie: Cameron Young (40-1, DraftKings) Cam Young is going to get his first win soon, and why not here? Hes made it through the cut in each trip to TPC Scottsdale, highlighted by a T17 in 2021. You may not want to back the Merseysider in tournaments that will require you to score 20-under par, but this kind of set-up is right up his alley. Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. Pick to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational (0.5 Units): Rory McIlroy (+950). It is an attractive, rolling course that is well maintained with well-mowed and follow. Thats remarkable and, while it has made his outright odds tough to stomach, I think that the Top 5 odds are more than palatable at this price given that hes done that at an 80% rate so far this season. He also suits the developing narrative set by Justin Rose last week, as a consistent veteran who is beginning to trend in 2023 (four consecutive top-25s) and in search of his first win since 2019. Follow him on Twitter: @gdula13. But its easy to see why we all like Z this week. Who are you taking? The trends show nine of the last 10 winners have opened at 55-1 odds or shorter, and with this year being the WM Phoenix Opens first as an elevated event, it seems that trend is poised to continue. Then it just comes down to the putter. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. Its worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own! Bradley was runner-up at Bay Hill in 2014 and third in 2013. WebThe Arnold Palmer Invitational is set to take place this week from March 2-5, 2023, at the Bay Hill Golf Course. Shipping on most Impact Label products Golf betting record in 2023 through Honda:12-27-1, -3.234 units (0-8 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets | +0.98 units at Honda)One-and-Done record in 2023: $1,523,924.22 (Shane Lowry at Honda, $288,120), Top 10 pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Viktor Hovland (+290). His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. Defending tournament champion Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and current No. The Twitter handle is a joke. That combination served him fairly well in his 2022 debut where he finished T42. Wind proved a decisive factor in the 2022 outcome of the Arnold Palmer and should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday. >. Since, hes picked up some additional confidence and experience on long, difficult courses, playing in his first Presidents Cup at Quail Hollow. Steele ranks top-10 in both SG: OTT and SG: APP, which will help him to avoid the persistent hazards that threaten around both the fairways and greens. That said, the presence of these elites has pushed quality players to a discounted odds range, creating some appealing value if any of the elites falter. Without any further delay, lets get to our WM Phoenix Open picks with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups. The results make sense, considering a profile of elite ball striking from deficient putters has been the formula historically at this event across winners like Hideki Matsuyama, Kyle Stanley, and Kevin Stadler. The 4th elevated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. For us this week, that man is Adam Scott. Farmers: Will Zalatoris. As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. Gilliam County. The 2013 Masters champions odds-to-win the Genesis are +5500, which are better odds than you usually will find among our long-shot picks. In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau These odds are just too long to overlook for a player performing as well as he is right now. While he fell victim to a faulty putter in his last start, the 31-year-old has actually gained strokes putting in his past four appearances on Bermuda grass. And while Fleetwood has yet to win in the U.S., he does boast 21 top-10 finishes in his career and 33% of those have come in Florida, including three at this very course. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. Honda: Sungjae Im. I like him to contend, and this number is probably higher than it should be with Schefflers recent win and the win here last year. Best irons for 2023 for every handicap and playing style, Three sleeper picks to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, including Tommy Fleetwood at 80/1, Ratings for LIV Golf's 2023 TV debut are in and they aren't pretty, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Genesis: Justin Thomas. 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